Federico Cina vs Aslan Karatsev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance: Cina has a slight edge, winning 44.23% of second serve points, compared to Karatsev's 41.84%.
• Return game effectiveness: Karatsev outperforms Cina on returning second serves, with a win rate of 50.6% versus Cina's 46.84%.
• First serve returns: Cina is marginally better, winning 25.2% of first serve return points, just slightly above Karatsev's 24.54%.
• Under pressure: Cina saves breakpoints better, with a 54.29% rate, while Karatsev holds a 50.76% save rate.
• Overall win percentage over the past year: Cina leads with 68.75% compared to Karatsev's 59.09%.
• Best surface performance: Both players excel on hard courts, with Cina winning 64% of those matches and Karatsev closely matching with 63%.
• Competitive level: Cina has played more at the Challengers/ITF level with a 64.86% win rate, while Karatsev is slightly behind at 62.5%.
• Direct head-to-head: Cina has defeated Karatsev once in their only meeting.
• Tiebreak and deciding sets: No tiebreaks and deciding sets in their head-to-head history.
• Opponent quality: Karatsev has faced higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 267.7 versus Cina's 310.28.
• Deciding set performance: If the match goes to a decider, Cina has a better track record, winning 65% compared to Karatsev's 50%.
• Break point conversion: Karatsev slightly outperforms Cina, converting 33.75% of break points as opposed to Cina's 32.16%.

Editorial Prediction (August 6, 2025, UTC):

As we compare recent performance metrics, Cina's higher second serve point win rate and ability to save breakpoints may prove advantageous in crucial situations this match.

Karatsev, on the other hand, has shown strength in returning second serves and converting break points, both key aspects that could disrupt Cina's rhythm.

While both players excel on hard courts, the only head-to-head match between them favors Cina, who secured a straight-set victory.

Ultimately, considering each player's strengths and recent form, Cina appears to have a slight edge due to his overall win percentage and effective under-pressure play. Thus, Cina is likely to win the upcoming match.